Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) is one of India’s fastest-growing renewable energy companies, backed by the Adani Group and a ~20% stake from TotalEnergies . Headquartered in Ahmedabad, AGEL manages over 5 GW of active solar and wind capacity, with ambitions to scale to 50 GW by 2030 .
As of June 27, 2025, the stock trades around ₹1,016, within a 52‑week range of ₹758–₹2,091. Broker consensus leans Buy.
Analyst Forecasts for 12‑Month Price Targets
| Source | Avg Target (₹) | Range (₹) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wall‑Street (TipRanks/AlphaSpread) | 1,211 – 1,270 | 808 – 1,598 | +20–25% avg; +57% max |
| Shareprice‑Target.com | 1,923 | 540 – 1,923 | +89% top estimate |
| IndMoney | 1,232 | 800 – 1,522 | +24% avg upside |
Key take: Analyst consensus points to moderate upside in the next 12 months, with conservative targets near ₹1,200 and bullish scenarios exceeding ₹1,500.
Recent Company Highlights & Financials
- Q4 FY2025 Profit Surge: Net profit of ₹383 cr (+24%) on revenues of ₹3,073 cr (+22%).
- Technical Indicator: June 19 saw a positive pivot buy signal with an 8.7% rally, though three‑month MACD shows a short-term sell sig (.
⚠️ Key Risks & Concerns
- Controversy & governance: U.S. bribery charges filed in November 2024 involving Gautam Adani and related to Khavda solar contracts, tying AGEL’s image to group allegations.
- Suspended funding: TotalEnergies has paused new investments until regulatory clarity is achieved.
- Stock volatility: AGEL’s wild price action (₹758–2,091 in 12 months) reflects both opportunity and speculation.
Investment Verdict
- 💡 Bull Case: Strong growth in solar installations, government support, and improving profitability could propel AGEL to ₹1,500–2,000 by late‑2025.
- 🛡️ Base Case: Most analysts expect the stock to reach ₹1,200–1,300 over 12 months—~20–30% upside from current levels.
- ⚠️ Bear Case: Regulatory or governance shocks could drag the stock down to ₹800–1,000 in the near term.
Given these factors, AGEL is a high-conviction mid-to-long-term clean energy pick, provided you’re comfortable with policy exposure and Adani Group reputational risks.
Summary Table
- Current Price: ~₹1,016 (June 27, 2025)
- Analyst Target Range (12 mo): ₹1,200–1,300
- Upside Potential: 20–30% (base), up to 60% (bull case)
- Risks: Geopolitical/governance, funding slowdowns, stock volatility
Final Take
If you’re bullish on India’s renewable future and trust AGEL’s execution, the ₹1,200–1,300 target range offers a compelling entry point. Keep an eye on developments related to U.S. legal issues and TotalEnergies’ stance—these could influence short-term performance, even as growth fundamentals remain strong.